In estimates I asked the ABS the reasons for the jump in excess deaths. They tried to play it down of course by saying that an increase in the older age group was expected. The increase in deaths for the older age group is over 10%. It is clearly not demographic changes.
As the attached link points out the jump in 2021 deaths over the 5-year average was three standard deviations from the mean. Even after adjusting for population growth, this is still a massive jump in deaths.
The silence is deafening. And I quote:
“Looking at another page of the ABS website, it reports that there were 171,469 deaths registered in 2021, an increase of 10,169 from 2020 (161,300)……. a standard deviation for this data set from 2015-2020, which gives me a standard deviation of 3031.
The average for 2015-2020 is 161,324. We therefore expect that 95% of the data should fall between the mean plus/minus 2 standard deviations and 99.7% of the data will fall between the mean plus/minus 3 standard deviations under a normal distribution …This means that the number of deaths in 2021 is statistically higher, in fact the excess death if you simply compare it to the average rate of deaths is up 6.58% in 2021!!”
https://uncensoredwisdom.com/alarming-abs-death-data-analysis/
—
Economics Legislation Committee
10/11/2022
Estimates
TREASURY PORTFOLIO
Australian Bureau of Statistics
Senator RENNICK: If you could. I note last year in 2021 that there was an increase of 8,706 deaths from 2020.
Dr Gruen : Sorry, I missed that.
Senator RENNICK: In 2021, there was an increase of 8,706 deaths over 2020 despite the fact that there was very little COVID in the community in 2021. Do you track—
Dr Gruen : Are you talking about total deaths?
Senator RENNICK: I’m talking about the increase. There were about 171,000 deaths in 2021 and 162,000 in 2020.
Dr Gruen : That is the total number of deaths in those two years?
Senator RENNICK: In those two years; that’s right. That is as per your numbers—those of the Australian Bureau of Statistics?
Dr Gruen : I could look them up, but for the sake of the conversation, yes.
Senator RENNICK: Is it possible that you can track those deaths by vaccination status? Can you track between the time of death and the time of vaccination?
Dr Grue n : Let me just make a general point. As you would be aware, the average age of the Australian population is rising, as is the population of Australia. The total number of deaths, all other things given, gradually rises through time because you have an older cohort. So the fact that there has been a slight increase in the number of deaths from one year to the next is exactly what you would expect.
Senator RENNICK: That is not a slight increase. That is about a five per cent increase. That is a big jump. It was all in the last eight months. It started to jump by about six per cent.
Dr Gruen : Well, I’m just making the point that the fact there was an increase is what you would expect. The magnitude of the increase is of interest; that’s true. In terms of tracking the vaccination status, that would require an analysis of microdata which is available. The Australian Immunisation Register has been linked to an integrated data asset that goes by the name of MADIP, which is a people-centred integrated data asset. It would be possible for a researcher to examine that. That would be possible.
Senator RENNICK: That is excellent, thanks. That jump occurred in May, one month after the vaccine rollout.
Senator Gallagher: The TGA additionally does deaths.
Senator RENNICK: I’m just about to ask about that.
Senator Gallagher: Deaths from vaccination or linked to vaccination have to be reported as an adverse event. They report that dataset publicly as well.
Senator RENNICK: Thanks. I thought you guys might have a better understanding, given that you are tech heads who sit there and crunch the numbers. That is good to know. I have one other question. In that breakout last year, there was a big jump in various causes. I did put in a request to the ABS if I could get a breakout of non-specific causes that weren’t listed line by line. Would it be possible to get a breakout of non-specific causes line by line in greater detail?
Dr Gruen : We can take that on notice.
Senator RENNICK: If you could, I would appreciate it.
