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QUESTION ON NOTICE

Question:

22 February 2022

1. Could the modelling that the CSIRO will use to base its net zero projections on please be provided? 2. What is the confidence level of this model?

Answer:

Question Number: 2
PDR Number: AI-02
Date Submitted: 22/02/2022
Department or Body: Industry, Science, Engergy and Resources

CSIRO has previously undertaken integrated, scenario-based analysis to understand the outcomes of Australia pursuing a policy of net zero emissions.

The most recent analysis of this type conducted by CSIRO is the Australian National Outlook 2019 (https://www.csiro.au/en/work-with-us/services/consultancy-strategic-advice-services/csirofutures/australian-national-outlook). The modelling parameters used in the ANO 2019 report are published in the Technical Report, available at: https://publications.csiro.au/publications/publication/PIcsiro:EP183813.

More recently, the Australian Government has published Australia’s Long-Term Emissions Reduction Plan which outlines a pathway for Australia to achieve net zero emissions by 2050. The modelling and analysis for Australia’s Long-Term Emissions Reduction Plan is published at: https://www.industry.gov.au/data-and-publications/australias-long-term-emissions-reduction-plan.

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